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Trump Urges Fed Rate Cuts but Markets Reduce Easing Bets

Trump Urges Fed Rate Cuts but Markets Reduce Easing Bets

TraderKnowsTraderKnows
03-13
Summary：Trump Urges Fed Rate Cuts but Markets Reduce Easing Bets

As the Middle East conflict escalates and pushes oil prices up, U.S. President Donald Trump once again publicly urges the Federal Reserve to "immediately cut interest rates," but financial markets are repricing interest rate prospects in the opposite direction.

Trump posted on the social platform Truth Social, stating that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell should "cut interest rates immediately." However, since the U.S. and Israel launched military action against Iran on February 28, traders have significantly reduced their bets on rate cuts this year.

Interest rate futures show that the market previously expected two 25-basis-point cuts by 2026, but now only barely prices in one rate cut.

Meanwhile, international oil prices are rising, intensifying inflation concerns. West Texas Intermediate crude settled near $95.70 per barrel on Thursday.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer

The market carries risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and has not taken into account individual users' specific investment goals, financial situations, or needs. Users should consider whether any opinions, viewpoints, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their particular circumstances. Investing based on this is at one's own responsibility.

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Wiki

Interest rate cut

A rate cut refers to the central bank adjusting the interest rate level so that it is lower than before, as a form of monetary policy. It is a means by which the central bank affects the supply and demand relationship in the money market, money creation, and the level of interest rates by changing the level of interest rates. Rate cuts are usually used to counter inflation, stimulate economic growth, or alleviate economic downturn pressures.

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