Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated on Tuesday that Russia has submitted a detailed list of Ukraine's violations of the energy ceasefire agreement to the United States, the United Nations, and the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE). He pointed out that this list proves Ukraine's lack of credibility in adhering to the agreement, and it has been handed over to U.S. National Security Adviser Waltz, U.S. Secretary of State Rubio, and Russia's representatives at the United Nations and OSCE.
Following talks between the U.S. and Russia and between the U.S. and Ukraine, an agreement was reached at the end of last month to ensure the safety of navigation in the Black Sea and halt attacks on energy facilities. However, Russia rejected the U.S. proposal for a 30-day comprehensive ceasefire, emphasizing that a complete ceasefire requires several key conditions, including Ukraine halting the acceptance of foreign military aid and effective monitoring of the ceasefire across the front line.
However, just two days after reaching a partial ceasefire consensus, Ukrainian President Zelensky claimed that Russia attacked energy facilities in Kherson, calling on Washington to respond. Zelensky then instructed Ukraine's Defense Minister to provide the U.S. with evidence of Russia's failure to comply with the ceasefire agreement.
Kremlin spokesman Peskov insisted that Russia has adhered to the partial ceasefire agreement but also warned that if Ukraine violates the terms, Russia "reserves the right to abandon the agreement." Russia accused Ukraine of attacking the Sudzha gas metering station, but Ukraine denied the accusation, claiming Russia is looking for an excuse for further strikes.
As both sides accuse each other of violating the ceasefire agreement, the prospect of a comprehensive ceasefire becomes more complicated. Although U.S. President Trump previously stated his belief in Putin's commitment to peace, his attitude has changed in recent days. Trump expressed he was "very angry" about Putin questioning Zelensky's credibility and threatened to impose "secondary tariffs" on Russian oil if he believes the failure to reach a ceasefire agreement is Russia's fault.
The Trump administration had planned to reach a comprehensive ceasefire agreement by April or May and hoped to facilitate a lasting peace agreement in the following months. However, informed U.S. officials revealed that the Trump administration recently discussed the possibility that the U.S. might not be able to facilitate a peace agreement in Ukraine in the coming months and is devising new pressure plans. According to these officials, achieving a comprehensive ceasefire and peace agreement does not appear to be within the realm of possibility in the near term.
