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Gold prices are expected to rise during Christmas week, possibly reaching 4400 in 2026.

Gold prices are expected to rise during Christmas week, possibly reaching 4400 in 2026.

TraderKnowsTraderKnows
2025-12-22
Summary:As the US GDP data is set to be released during Christmas week, the precious metals sector is overall strengthening. Benefiting from the historical high of silver and the catch-up in platinum and palladium

2025.5.13  黃金

Key Data Strikes During Christmas Week, Precious Metals Rally Boosts Confidence in Gold Prices

As the global financial market enters the last full trading week of 2025, the gold market has once again become the focus of investors. This week, the market will see the release of major economic data including the revised U.S. Q3 GDP, which is not only a crucial indicator of U.S. economic resilience but will also directly influence the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. Under the dual influence of macroeconomic uncertainty and holiday season demand, spot gold is performing steadily.

Last Friday, a revival in global investment demand provided robust support for gold prices. Although gold's daily gains were eclipsed by silver, its nearly 1% weekly increase was enough to send a positive signal. Analysts believe that gold’s current moderate rise seems more like "poised for takeoff." Against the backdrop of global bond market turbulence and currency market fluctuations, gold's status as a "stabilizing anchor" is increasingly solidified, with widespread expectations in the market that it will continue to rise driven by safe-haven buying.

Silver Hits Record High, Sector Linkage Effect Catalyzes Gold Prices Upward

The recent heat in the precious metals market is not just a solo act by gold, but a collective outbreak of the entire sector. Silver had an astounding performance last week, soaring 8.4% and reaching a record high of $67.45. This dramatic trend is attributed to strong industrial demand and the current global supply crunch. Experts point out that due to the high correlation between gold and silver, silver's outstanding performance often creates a "spillover effect."

Michael Matousek, Chief Trader of U.S. Global Investors, emphasized that silver's leading position over the past two months has led to a noticeable widening of the gold-silver price gap. Based on historical experience, such extreme price differences often prompt investors to reassess asset values, thereby attracting funds back to the relatively "undervalued" gold. This price differential dynamic is becoming a significant short-term driving force for further upward movement in gold prices.

Platinum and Palladium Rise Suddenly, 2026 Opens Up Long-Term Upside for Gold Prices

In addition to the dazzling performance of silver, platinum and palladium have also joined this precious metals feast. Spot platinum recently hit a seventeen-year high, reaching a peak of $1989.60 per ounce; palladium, meanwhile, continued its rise on Monday, surpassing $1740, marking a nearly three-year high. The strong catch-up rise of platinum and palladium further reinforces market consensus about a bull market in precious metals.

Looking ahead, mainstream institutions like TD Securities hold an extremely optimistic view of the long-term outlook for gold prices. With holding costs decreasing and risk aversion rising, experts predict that gold is likely to break through the $4400 threshold in the first half of 2026. Although silver has seen superior gains within the year, gold's price stability when confronting inflation and economic recession risks makes it the preferred option for long-term holdings. In the thinly traded Christmas holiday period, any economic data exceeding expectations could become the spark that ignites another surge in gold prices.

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer

The market carries risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and has not taken into account individual users' specific investment goals, financial situations, or needs. Users should consider whether any opinions, viewpoints, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their particular circumstances. Investing based on this is at one's own responsibility.

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