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Japan's Real Wages Rise for Fourth Consecutive Month, Fueling June BOJ Rate Hike Bets

Japan's Real Wages Rise for Fourth Consecutive Month, Fueling June BOJ Rate Hike Bets

Japan's real wages surged 1.9% year-over-year, marking the longest streak of gains in nearly two and a half years. The robust wage growth bolsters expectations for a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Bank of Japan at its upcoming June policy meeting.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
9 hours ago
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
9 hours ago
Massive Intervention Fails to Save Yen as Short Positions Surge Near Historic Lows

Massive Intervention Fails to Save Yen as Short Positions Surge Near Historic Lows

Despite a 73.6 billion dollar forex intervention by Japan Ministry of Finance, the yen real effective exchange rate dropped to its lowest since 1973 due to persistent interest rate differentials and structural economic challenges.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
10 hours ago
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
10 hours ago
Yen Hits Crucial 160 Level as Mid-East Tensions Boost USD Triggering Intervention Fears

Yen Hits Crucial 160 Level as Mid-East Tensions Boost USD Triggering Intervention Fears

The Japanese yen fell back to the key 160 per dollar level on Wednesday, erasing all gains from the previous 11.7 trillion yen intervention. Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East boosted USD demand, while PM Sanae Takaichi issued verbal warnings…

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-04
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
06-04
GBP Rangebound Amid Geopolitical Risks, Market Revalues BOE Rate Path

GBP Rangebound Amid Geopolitical Risks, Market Revalues BOE Rate Path

Middle East tensions drive oil prices higher, keeping GBP/USD and EUR/GBP in narrow ranges. Markets expect the BOE to delay rate hikes to September amid transatlantic policy divergence.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-03
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
06-03
US Treasury Yields Edge Lower Amid JOLTS Surge and Volatile Oil Prices

US Treasury Yields Edge Lower Amid JOLTS Surge and Volatile Oil Prices

US job openings unexpectedly rose to 7.618 million in April while Fed's Hammack hinted at potential rate hikes due to inflation pressures. Geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East drove oil price volatility, leading US Treasury yields slightly…

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
06-03
U.S. Treasury yields
U.S. Treasury yields
06-03
China Bond Yields Drop to Record Lows on Improved Liquidity and Middle East Risks

China Bond Yields Drop to Record Lows on Improved Liquidity and Middle East Risks

Chinese government bonds extended gains as cash squeeze eased and safe-haven demand rose following military conflicts in the Middle East, dragging 10-year yields down to 1.7185%.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-28
government bond
government bond
05-28
US Yields Edge Higher in Asia as Mideast Tensions Boost Oil Prices

US Yields Edge Higher in Asia as Mideast Tensions Boost Oil Prices

US Treasury yields individual tenors advanced in Asian trading as renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drove oil prices higher, exacerbating global inflation concerns. Investors now eye key US PCE inflation data for clues on the Federal…

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-28
Debenture(Bonds)
Debenture(Bonds)
05-28
Bank of Japan Total Assets Drop 9.1% in FY2025 as JGB Holdings Taper

Bank of Japan Total Assets Drop 9.1% in FY2025 as JGB Holdings Taper

The Bank of Japan announced its FY2025 financial results on Wednesday, revealing a 9.1% YoY decline in total assets driven by reduced government bond holdings. This contraction marks a significant step forward in monetary policy normalization and bal

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-27
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
05-27
ECB Financial Stability Review Warns Iranian War Escalates Vulnerabilities Across 21 Eurozone Nation

ECB Financial Stability Review Warns Iranian War Escalates Vulnerabilities Across 21 Eurozone Nation

ECB Financial Stability Review Warns Iranian War Escalates Vulnerabilities Across 21 Eurozone Nations

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-27
European Central Bank
European Central Bank
05-27
JGB Yields Edge Higher: Middle East Tensions Drive Oil Prices Up Amid Fiscal Spending Concerns

JGB Yields Edge Higher: Middle East Tensions Drive Oil Prices Up Amid Fiscal Spending Concerns

Japanese government bond yields rose across the board on Tuesday, with the 10-year yield reaching 2.720%. While Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi clarified that the supplementary budget would not increase net market issuance, rising oil prices from Middl

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-26
government bond
government bond
05-26
US Corporate Bonds Outperform Treasuries as Sovereign Debt Concerns Mount

US Corporate Bonds Outperform Treasuries as Sovereign Debt Concerns Mount

Driven by fiscal deficits and inflation, US Treasury yields have climbed. Investors are turning to high-grade corporate bonds like Apple and Microsoft, narrowing credit spreads to historic lows.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-26
U.S. Treasury yields
U.S. Treasury yields
05-26
US Iran Peace Talks Progress Weakes Dollar as Gold Tops 4550 Amid High Level Resistance

US Iran Peace Talks Progress Weakes Dollar as Gold Tops 4550 Amid High Level Resistance

Spot gold rose over 1 percent to 4559.07 dollars on Monday as optimism over US-Iran peace talks depressed the dollar and crude oil. However, gains remain capped by Fed rate hike expectations and technical resistance at 4650 dollars.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-25
Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve
05-25
Eurozone Bond Yields Drop to One Month Lows on Strait of Hormuz Reopening Hopes

Eurozone Bond Yields Drop to One Month Lows on Strait of Hormuz Reopening Hopes

Eurozone government bond yields declined significantly as optimism over a US Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz led to a drop in oil prices, easing inflation fears and softening ECB rate hike bets.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-25
government bond
government bond
05-25
Eurozone Bond Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs as UBS Warns of Widening US-German Spread

Eurozone Bond Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs as UBS Warns of Widening US-German Spread

The 10-year German Bund yield climbed to 3.191%, a high not seen since 2011, alongside rising US Treasury yields. Although geopolitical easing signals brought Brent crude down slightly to $110, persistently high energy premiums are forcing markets to

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-20
government bond
government bond
05-20
Foreigners Net Sell Super-Long JGBs for First Time in Over a Year as 30-Year Yield Hits Record High

Foreigners Net Sell Super-Long JGBs for First Time in Over a Year as 30-Year Yield Hits Record High

Overseas investors net sold 81.3 billion yen of Japanese super-long government bonds in April, the first net outflow since Dec 2024. Amid inflation and fiscal expansion fears, the 30-year JGB yield touched its highest level since 1999. Although domes

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-20
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
05-20
Global Investment Banks Upgrade RMB Forecasts Citing Strong Export Surplus and US-China Stability

Global Investment Banks Upgrade RMB Forecasts Citing Strong Export Surplus and US-China Stability

HSBC, Deutsche Bank, and Goldman Sachs have raised their Chinese Yuan forecasts as of May 18. The currency has gained nearly 3% YTD, supported by competitive exports and stable trade ties.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-18
Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate
05-18
South Korea Proposes Currency Swap with US Amid $20B Investment Exchange Rate Concerns

South Korea Proposes Currency Swap with US Amid $20B Investment Exchange Rate Concerns

Facing depreciation pressure on the Won from a $20 billion direct investment in the US, South Korean President Lee Jae-myung proposed a bilateral currency swap to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The US hinted at further discussions between incom

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-14
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
05-14
CFETS RMB Exchange Rate Index Hits 2-Week High: Multilateral Resilience Drives 2.15% YTD Gain

CFETS RMB Exchange Rate Index Hits 2-Week High: Multilateral Resilience Drives 2.15% YTD Gain

CFETS data shows the RMB exchange rate index rose to 100.1, the highest since April 30. Weighed by EUR and JPY weakness against the Yuan, the basket has gained over 2% YTD, reflecting solid macroeconomic support and effective counter-cyclical managem

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-14
Currency Appreciation
Currency Appreciation
05-14
Oil Surge Nears $106: Indian Rupee Tests Record Lows as RBI Intervention Bets Mount

Oil Surge Nears $106: Indian Rupee Tests Record Lows as RBI Intervention Bets Mount

Driven by a 50% oil price rally amid the Iran conflict and persistent foreign outflows, USD/INR hovers near record lows of 95.7950. Traders anticipate RBI dollar-selling intervention to stem currency depreciation.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-14
Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate
05-14
Yuan Stabilizes Ahead of Trump's Visit, Long-End Swaps Hit 9-Month Low

Yuan Stabilizes Ahead of Trump's Visit, Long-End Swaps Hit 9-Month Low

Amid strong US inflation and a widening yield gap, the USD/CNY spot rate edged up to around 6.79 in early trade. Markets expect the upcoming US-China summit to ease trade tensions, supporting a stable yuan while long-end swaps drop to a 9-month low.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-13
Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate
05-13
USD/JPY Stalls Near 157 as Option Expiries and Intervention Fears Lock Range

USD/JPY Stalls Near 157 as Option Expiries and Intervention Fears Lock Range

Lacking new catalysts in Asian trading, USD/JPY consolidated narrowly between 157.56-78. The 158.00 intervention red line and massive option expiries capped upside potential, while AUD/JPY showed strength among crosses.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-13
Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate
05-13
Taiwan FX Anomaly: TWD Plunges on Heavy Foreign Outflows, Nears 31.550

Taiwan FX Anomaly: TWD Plunges on Heavy Foreign Outflows, Nears 31.550

The Taiwan Dollar depreciated sharply in late trading driven by aggressive foreign capital outflows. Exporter dollar sales and central bank intervention cushioned the fall. Markets are focused on upcoming Sino-US talks and Asian FX trends.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-12
Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate
05-12
Eurozone Bond Yields Climb as Geopolitical Tensions Push Oil to $105

Eurozone Bond Yields Climb as Geopolitical Tensions Push Oil to $105

Eurozone sovereign bonds faced a sell-off as prolonged US-Iran conflict concerns drove Brent crude higher. German and Italian benchmark yields rose significantly, with markets fully pricing in two 25 bps rate hikes by the ECB before September.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-11
European Central Bank
European Central Bank
05-11
Eurozone Short-Term Yields Rise as Traders Weigh Oil Premium and UK Politics

Eurozone Short-Term Yields Rise as Traders Weigh Oil Premium and UK Politics

Driven by US-Iran geopolitical tensions, Brent crude stabilized above $110, pushing German 2-year bond yields higher. Meanwhile, UK gilts rallied after digesting local election impacts, and markets now price a 57% probability of an ECB rate hold in J

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-09
European Central Bank
European Central Bank
05-09
Japan Suspected of Splurging Over 8 Trillion Yen During Golden Week to Prop Up Currency

Japan Suspected of Splurging Over 8 Trillion Yen During Golden Week to Prop Up Currency

Based on BOJ current account data, the MOF likely spent around 8.65 trillion yen on FX intervention during the holidays. As the yen's rally to 155 fades, market focus shifts back to the US-Japan yield spread and the 160 threshold.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-08
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
05-08
Taiwan Money Market Short-Term Rates Face Upward Pressure Amid Stock Market Drain and Approaching Ta

Taiwan Money Market Short-Term Rates Face Upward Pressure Amid Stock Market Drain and Approaching Ta

Driven by Taiwan's equities draining liquidity and impending May tax payments, banks face reserve shortfalls. Interbank rates hit 1.30%, while non-guaranteed short-term bills attract funds with high rates, crowding out secondary markets.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-08
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
05-08
China Commercial Paper Rates Tick Up Amid Weak Credit and PBOC Liquidity Drain

China Commercial Paper Rates Tick Up Amid Weak Credit and PBOC Liquidity Drain

Post-month-end commercial paper discount rates slightly rebounded to around 0.73%. Rebound room remains limited due to weak credit demand. The PBOC is reducing long-term liquidity to correct excessive easing.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-08
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
05-08
Japan Suspected of Selling US Treasuries to Defend Yen, Pressuring Dollar Liquidity

Japan Suspected of Selling US Treasuries to Defend Yen, Pressuring Dollar Liquidity

Fed custody data shows an $8.7B drop in foreign-held US Treasuries, aligning with Japan's FX intervention. If Japan normalizes selling Treasuries to prop up the Yen, a $70B supply imbalance could surge yields.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-08
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
05-08
Japan Coordinates Multi-Agency FX Intervention, Seeks Support from US Treasury Secretary Visit

Japan Coordinates Multi-Agency FX Intervention, Seeks Support from US Treasury Secretary Visit

The BOJ and MOF demonstrate rare policy alignment, curbing yen depreciation through hawkish signaling and a 10 trillion yen intervention. Markets are closely watching US Treasury Secretary Bessent's visit and the BOJ's June rate decision.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-08
Nippon Ginko
Nippon Ginko
05-08
Market Jolted by US-Iran Memo: Oil Slumps, Gold Surges Past $4690

Market Jolted by US-Iran Memo: Oil Slumps, Gold Surges Past $4690

As the US and Iran near a peace memorandum, oil prices plummeted over 7%, easing inflation fears and weighing on the dollar. Spot gold surged by $133 to top $4690, with markets now pivoting to the upcoming NFP data.

TraderKnows
TraderKnows
05-07
Foreign Exchange Trading
Foreign Exchange Trading
05-07
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